Report predicts more smartphones than humans in 2012.
The Cisco VNI aims to “track and forecast the impact of visual networking applications on global networks” which is a fancy way of saying that they want to know where the internets are headed, given that they make US$40 billion a year selling the hardware that ties it all together. The report focuses on mobile data, eg from smartphones, tablets and other portable devices.
The graph above shows that by 2016 mobile data traffic is expected to grow 18 times from the present average of 0.6 Exabytes per month, to 10.8 EB per month in 2016. The 29 page document also stated:
- Last year’s mobile data traffic was eight times the size of the entire global Internet in 2000.
- Mobile video traffic exceeded 50 percent for the first time in 2011 - 52% of all mobile data was for video.
- In 2011, a fourth-generation (4G) connection generated 28 times more traffic on average than a non-4G connection. Although 4G connections represent only 0.2 percent of mobile connections today, they already account for 6 percent of mobile data traffic.
- Android is now higher than iPhone levels of data use.
- By the end of 2012, the number of mobile-connected devices will exceed the number of people on earth, and by 2016 there will be 1.4 mobile devices per capita.